Kurtenbach: How the Warriors broke one of the NBA’s most popular prediction models

SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA – MAY 26: Golden State Warriors’ Draymond Green (23) reacts after a 3-point basket by teammate Klay Thompson (11) in the third quarter of Game 5 of their NBA Western Conference Finals at the Chase Center in San Francisco, Calif., on Thursday, May 26, 2022. (Jose Carlos Fajardo/Bay Area News Group)

The Warriors came into this postseason as an unknown. Klay Thompson only played once the calendar flipped to 2022, Draymond Green dealt with an injury that kept him out for two months, and then Steph Curry missed the final 12 games of the regular season with a foot injury.

In all, the Warriors were a sub-.500 team after the All-Star Game and entered the postseason without a set rotation, momentum, or any sort of continuity on both sides of the court.

So of course they reached the NBA Finals.

Now that Golden State is in a sixth NBA Finals in eight years and sits four wins away from a fourth title, there are plenty of believers in the Warriors once again.

The wise guys in the desert — or, more accurately, the bookies pushing odds to your phone in certain states — love the Warriors to win the title, regardless of the opponent.

In fact, after Boston lost a series-clinching game at home against Miami on Friday night, pushing the Western Conference Finals to a Game 7, it seems as if everyone — not just the bettors — is…

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